The collapse of the Mayan
civilization at the end of the so-called
classic period, between 200 and 900,
is a persistent archaeological mystery.
The classical Maya were the most
advanced of the pre-Columbian
civilizations, anchored by a collection of
city-states in the lowlands of modern-day
Guatemala, Belize, and the Yucatan
Peninsula. But around 700, these citystates
began an inexorable decline that
ended in their total abandonment. While
the independent Maya survived until the
Spanish conquest in the late 17th century,
the postclassical Maya were a less urban
and populous civilization.
Archaeologists have posited a number
of theories explaining the decline of the
classical Maya, from foreign invasion to
disease epidemic to a collapse in trade with
neighboring cultures, but one of the oldest
and most persistent theories centers on
drought. The Yucatan Peninsula and Petén
Basin were already particularly susceptible
to variability in rainfall—the soil is thin
and sandy, and a regular seasonal drought
complicates agricultural productivity
Though the Maya had solved this problem
through advances in fertilization and
irrigation, studies of soil and stalagmites in
the region indicate a decline in rainfall of
between 25 and 40 percent in the late
classical period. For a culture living off an
already fickle water supply, this
megadrought may have been too much for
even advanced Mayan hydrological
engineering to overcome.
Drought by itself, however, doesn’t
explain the fall in its entirety. It doesn’t
explain why the Maya didn’t return to the
classical cities after the climate righted
itself in the second millennium or why the
northern cities that ascended in the
aftermath never reached the heights of the
lowland city-states. Nor is it clear why the
drought occurred in the first place. It may
have been cyclical, but some researchers
believe that the Maya instigated the
drought by clear-cutting rain forest, cutting
short the water cycle that topped off the
reservoirs that slaked their thirst during the
dry periods.
Almost as mysterious as the decline of
the Maya is the fact that the classic Mayan
civilization took root where it did. Dense,
urban settlements dependent on agriculture
have not historically thrived in jungle
climates rooted in limestone soil. That the
Maya flourished there at all is testament to
the ingenuity of their civilization.
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